HomeSportSaturday racing tips at the Ebor Festival and Goodwood from Tom Lunn

Saturday racing tips at the Ebor Festival and Goodwood from Tom Lunn

talkSPORT have you covered for the horse racing with tips and free bets for the day’s fixtures for York’s Ebor Festival and meeting at Goodwood.

Tom Lunn has gone through the racecards, form, going and much more to help guide your horse racing betting choices.


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York racing tips

1.50, Strensall Stakes: Nostrum 11/10 (2pts – NAP)

Nostrum has that star quality about him and sets the standard against this field.

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The Kingman colt was just a length behind Epictetus last time out when being beaten at an odds-on price, which could be a similar price on Saturday.

But that can potentially be attributed to his first time on soft ground which may not suit.

He has Group 1 form over 7f coming just over two lengths behind Chaldean in October’s Darley Dewhurst takes and that form has been boosted incredibly well.

Even his latest run behind Epictetus bodes well for this one and should be even tougher to beat aboard the in-form Ryan Moore.

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2.25: The Goat 11/1 each-way (1pt)

It’s surprising to see this price for The Goat and it’s very likely that he will continue to be shortened.

That comes after winning by an astonishing 12 lengths last time out and finally putting his potential to the fore, when being stepped up to 1m4f for the first time.

The manner of that victory suggests he could reach 1m6f easily and still have some in hand. He has to face a 12lb rise so that will set him back slightly but is unexposed over what’s clearly an ideal distance.

3.00, City Of York Stakes: Kinross 7/4 (2pts)

Kinross with Frankie Dettori wins the Prix de la Foret at Paris Longchamps Racecourse, on October 2, 2022


Kinross with Frankie Dettori wins the Prix de la Foret at Paris Longchamps Racecourse, on October 2, 2022Credit: GETTY/Horsephotos

An incredibly dependable horse over 7f which he gets today and has the benefit of a course and distance win which nine of his rivals do not have.

Carries just 4lb more than Isaac Shelby for Saturday’s clash but was comfortably in front when they faced off last time out and could have even more in the tank this time out if needed.

His two previous races were over 6f this season and in Group 1 company so he has that speed needed – but he much prefers the 7f – winning seven times from 12 runs

He does prefer a bit of rain and that’s set to come by Saturday which is yet another tick for reasons to back Kinross, if Frankie Dettori being on board again wasn’t enough.

Kinross won this last year beating Pogo by over a length, and that too was convincing, and was comfortable.

3.35, Sky Bet Ebor: Sweet William 7/2 (1pt)

Backed nicely at Goodwood Festival and after coming second in his first three races, all by small margins, he’s come into his own this summer winning the next three in Class 2 company, all while being upped from a mark of 85 to 95.

An 8lb rise from that heavy ground victory in the Coral Summer Handicap at Goodwood is workable and there’s a big buzz about this horse who was guaranteed a race here.

Crucially, he is versatile ground-wise and that is yet another big factor in what will make him a star for trainers John & Thady Gosden.

The Sea The Stars gelding is lightly raced for a four-year-old and looks like taking advantage of of the weights, as he’ll be upped 4lb in the future – rated 103 but only carrying 99 this weekend in the feature race of the festival.

4.10: Bosh 25/1 (1pt) each-way

Bosh placed behind Sacred Bridge at Naas back in August 2021 and has been lightly raced since, attempting a step up in trip but hasn’t been seen since July 2022.

He’s now been gelded and off for another big break, as he did when he ran well at Newbury after 242 days off.

Sacred Bridge had gone on to get a rating of 110, placing in Group company, running in Group 1’s too – behind Tenebrism in 2021 and won a listed race to reach his peak mark last season.

Bosh may be lightly raced but has two runs here and won over course and distance on his second career run – there’s lots to like about this each-way outsider a bit like Ropey Guest who came in at 40/1 on Thursday for the tips.

4.45: Purosangue 13/8 (1pt) & Mon Na Slieve 10/1 (1pt) each-way

This is a fantastic race and the penultimate of the festival, contested over 5f the listed Roses Stakes for two-year-olds holds plenty of potential.

Purosangue is really easy to back having finished ahead of Kylian and just a neck behind Big Evs, who ran with credit in the Nunthorpe on Friday afternoon, boosting many of these runners’ forms.

Mon Na Slieve travelled well on debut here and at this distance before going straight into Group 2 company at Royal Ascot.

Coming eighth was slightly disappointing but on just his second run can be forgiven for not being efficient and running smoothly throughout; if settling better and not hanging left this time he could make a nice winner at a big price.

That’s still huge form too, even being over six lengths behind as those in between him and the winner Valiant Force have boosted this form nicely. With the likes of Malc, Elite Status, His Majesty and Thunder Blue for instance.

Goodwood racing tips

2.40: Epictetus 3/1 (1pt) & Random Harvest each-way 8/1 (1pt)

This is a the Celebration Mile Stakes and it’s the back to form mile winner Epictetus who is an outstanding price at 3’s.

He was just three lengths off Auguste Rodin at Doncaster in the Group 1 Trophy Stakes, a winner on his first start in the new season at Epsom in a listed before three out of character places back in the field.

But on return to a mile looked back to his best – beating Nostrum by a length under Dettori.

Kieran Shoemark has to ride instead with Dettori at York, but it’s set up nicely for a big win.

Random Harvest is also a lovely each-way price, with Saffie Osborne always on board the Ed Walker-trained horse.

P+L since 10/07/23: +62.7pts

All odds correct at time of writing

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