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UFC Fight Night 226 – Gane vs Spivac preview: Odds and betting tips


Live from Accor Arena in Paris, France, is UFC Fight Night 226 with Cyril Gane and Sergey Spivac facing off in the main event. A few fights for this card have been shuffled due to visa issues and injury. Nonetheless, the main event is intact, and below, we’ll offer up the best odds and betting tips for it. 

✨ Current Odds For The Ciryl Gane Vs Serghei Spivac

With so many sportsbooks to choose from, it can be difficult to find the best odds. Well, no worries—we’ve done that for you. Below are the best odds for each fighter to win. 

🔮 Predictions For The Gane Vs Spivac Main Event

With just two losses to his credit, Cyril Gane looks to rev his engine back toward a title fight. First up, since his loss to Jon Jons, he is another top-10 heavyweight in Sergey Spivac (the spelling is different in multiple locations). Spivac has won three fights in a row, most recently against Derrick Lewis in February 2023, submitting him in the first round. This earned him a Performance of the Night bonus. 

Besides the Jones loss, Gane has just one other loss to Francis Ngannou on January 22, getting knocked out in the third round.

As you can see, Gane doesn’t lose unless it’s the cream of the crop. 

Spivac is 16-3 in his MMC career and first came to the UFC in 2019, losing to Walt Harris. His three professional losses have all come in the UFC. Two of his losses were to KO/TKO, and the other was a unanimous decision. 

This is set up to be a great fight as Spivac tends to lean more toward wrestling and get fighters to the mat, which Gane is not as skilled at. 

Gane isn’t exactly someone to track down his opponent and knock them out, which could lead to this fight going a bit longer than expected, as he avoids takedowns. 

Look for Gane to fend off Spivac and end this one, knocking him out. 

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Ciryl Gane’s form and last fights

Gane has been excellent throughout his MMA career. The 33-year-old has just two losses to Ngannou and Jones, and his most recent fight was a loss to Jones. In that fight, Jones made quick work of him, submitting him within the first two minutes. It was a tough loss for a competitor that’s been wildly successful, but Jones is another animal.

A win against Spivac here helps him re-climb the ladder to hopefully get another shot. 

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Sergey Spivac’s form and last fights

After losing to Tom Aspinall on September 4, 2021, Spivac has appeared in three flights and has won them all. He took out Greg Hardy and Augusto Sakai and most recently submitted Lewis in the first round.

Lewis found that out the hard way that his wrestling needs to be respected. 

He’s a top-10 heavyweight, but he’ll need to be wary of Gane here. 

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Ciryl Gane vs Serghei Spivac betting tips and odds

While we’re predicting a Gane win here, there are some exciting bets you can make on UFC fights that still hold that to be true but can add value. 

Below, we have three tips for you to consider exploring here. 

💫 Fight to go The Distance (Yes) +325 (BetMGM)

This isn’t something you’ll often see with heavyweight fights, but based on these two fighters’ profiles and getting +325, it’s not a bad flier to take. 

Spivac likes to take guys down. Gane isn’t great on the mat. He can knock guys out, but he’s not a fighter necessarily a “killer” in that regard. We could see a mix of the lack of coming out aggressively and staying hesitant of the takedowns, resulting in this one going the distance. 

💥 Bet on the fight to go the distance at +325 with BetMGM 💥

💫 Fight Finishes via KO/TKO/DQ -175 (BetMGM)

Yes, we recommended a “go the distance” bet above, but we’re looking for value here. Spivac is the underdog for a reason here, as Gane is a fighter who doesn’t really lose unless it’s the top dogs. Nearly half of his wins come via knockout, and if Spivac goes for a takedown, there’s a chance he’s met with a right hook from Gane, ending the fight. 

💥 Bet on a KO/TKO/DQ at -175 with BetMGM 💥

💫 Fight Finishes Round 3 +500 (BetMGM)

We mentioned that Spivac is a great wrestler. That, coupled with Gane not being the most aggressive heavyweight, could result in a couple of rounds of “feeling out” each other. We think it’s more likely that Gane knocks him out here, and Round 3 is a great time for that to happen. Of Gane’s wins, he had four in Round 3, with two coming via KO/TKO. 

💥 Bet on the fight to finish round 3 at +500 with BetMGM 💥

🏋️‍♂️What’s the weight category of the Gane vs Spivac fight?

Gane vs. Spivac is a heavyweight matchup. 

Is this the first encounter between Gane and Spivac?

Yes. Gane and Spivac have never faced off against each other before. 

😵 Who has more KOs in their career, Gane or Spivac?

Spivac has seven TKO’s to Gane’s five. Three of Gane’s five came in the UFC, while three of Spviac’s seven came in the UFC. 

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Which fighter is more likely to win by submission, Gane or Spivac?

Spivac is the superior wrestler here and has seven submissions to his credit, including against Lewis. He’s likelier to end the fight via submission if he can get Gane to the mat. 

Who has more professional UFC fights, Gane or Spivac?

Both fighters have ten bouts in the UFC. Gane is 33 years old, and Spivac is 28. 

📺 How to watch Gane vs Spivac

  • Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France
  • Date and time: September 2, 2023 at 3 PM ET
  • How to watch: ESPN+

Learn more about BetMGM by reading our BetMGM review.

About the author

Richard Janvrin

Richard Janvrin brings nearly a decade of experience covering sports, sports betting, and everything iGaming. Richard received his bachelor’s degree in Journalism/English from the University of New Hampshire. Throughout his career, Richard has written for sites like Bleacher Report, Forbes, The Game Day, WSN, Gambling.com, and many more.

Find him on Twitter: @RichardJanvrin

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